Friday
November
20
2009
6:50 pm
Weather
 
  Home
  Local News
  State / National / World
  Sports
  Opinion / Letters
  Business
  Arts / Entertainment
  Lifestyle
  Obituaries
  Calendar
  Special
  Submit Event
  Comics / Games
  Classifieds
  DJ Designers
  Community Forum
  Archives
  Advertise With Us
  About Us

Do you Facebook? Become a fan of the Daily Journal. Click here.

Follow us on Twitter!

Advertise in the ONLY locally-owned daily newspaper in San Mateo County.

Volatility returns to markets
November 03, 2009, 03:25 AM By Sara Lepro and Tim Paradis


NEW YORK — After months on hiatus, volatility is back on Wall Street.

Stocks ended higher Monday after another day of big swings. Stronger reports on manufacturing and housing gave the market an early boost but a rise in the dollar and worries about the soundness of an eight-month rally chipped away at the gains. A late surge left the Dow Jones industrial average with a gain of 77 points but still down by about half from its best levels of the day.

After nearly unbreakable gains since midsummer, trading has become much rockier in recent weeks as investors worry that the pace of the economic recovery they have been counting on will be hard to maintain.

Jittery traders have pushed the market around in ways more reminiscent of the huge swings of a year ago than the smoother advance stocks have seen since the early spring. The Dow has gained or lost more than 100 points in six out of the last seven days. The last time the Dow has as long a streak of triple-digit moves was in late March, shortly after major stock indexes bounced off 12-year lows.

Good news can still lift the market, but those gains are now less likely to hold than they were earlier in the year. The market jumped last Thursday after the government reported the economy grew at a 3.5 percent pace in the July-September quarter, well ahead of expectations.

But that enthusiasm faded quickly as many noted that much of the growth came from government spending programs which are winding down. Likewise, many companies are reporting stronger than expected earnings, but in many cases the gains came from cost-cutting instead of higher sales. On Friday the Dow slumped nearly 250 points as those worries deepened, more than erasing the 200-point gain from the day before.

Analysts say many investors still expect the economy to improve but are worried it won’t happen as quickly as they had hoped. The signs of investor anxiety are clear. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index, known as Wall Street’s fear gauge, crept up to 31.84 Monday — a fresh four-month high before ending at 29.78.

“It’s a flip of a coin right now,” said Jeffrey Frankel, president of Stuart Frankel & Co. “You never know what you’re going to get the next day when you come in to work.”

As the market heads into the final months of the year, investors are trying to determine whether the bets they’ve been placing on a rebound in the economy over the past several months have been overdone. Even with a 2 percent loss in the Standard & Poor’s 500 in October, the index is still up 54.2 percent from a 12-year low in March.

“The question is, is the trend changing?” said Jim Dunigan, managing executive of investments at PNC Wealth Management.

Trading is likely to be volatile throughout the week as investors sift through a flood of economic data, including the government’s monthly employment report on Friday, that will offer a glimpse at the fourth quarter. The Federal Reserve will also weigh in on the economy after a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.

On Monday, the Dow rose 76.71, or 0.8 percent, to 9,789.44, its fourth gain in 10 days. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 6.69, or 0.7 percent, to 1,042.88, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 4.09, or 0.2 percent, to 2,049.20.

The seesaw trade came after the Institute for Supply Management said manufacturing activity grew in October at the fastest pace since April 2006 and much better than expected. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors said pending home sales increased for the eighth straight month in September, also topping expectations.

Separately, the Commerce Department said construction spending increased 0.8 percent in September, matching the gain in August. Economists had been expecting a drop.

The reports goosed stocks higher in the morning but weren’t enough to hold the gains through the afternoon as the dollar rose against other major currencies. That hurt commodity prices and exporters.

Financial stocks faltered briefly after Jon D. Greenlee, the Federal Reserve’s associate director for banking supervision and regulation, told lawmakers that “significant stress and weaknesses” remain in the financial system and that banks face more heavy losses on loans.

Citigroup Inc. fell below $4 for the first time since August, giving up 10 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $3.99.

Investors also found optimistic news. Ford Motor Co. surprised investors by reporting that deep cost cuts and the government’s Cash for Clunkers rebates helped it earn nearly $1 billion in the third quarter. The stock jumped 58 cents, or 8.3 percent, to $7.58.

Advancing stocks narrowly outpaced those that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.5 billion shares, compared with 1.7 billion Friday.

Bond prices fell, pushing yields higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.43 percent from 3.39 percent late Friday.

Oil rose $1.13 to settle at $78.13, while gold rose on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 5.22, or 1 percent, to 557.55.

Overseas, Japan’s Nikkei stock average dropped 2.3 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.9 percent, Germany’s DAX index added 0.2 percent, and France’s CAC-40 rose 0.8 percent.


Email to Friend Send a Letter to the Editor  |  Email to Friend Post your comment  |  Email to Friend Email to Friend  |  Print this Page Print this Page
<< Back
 
  RSS feed RSS
Daily Journal Quick Poll
 
What is the best new phrase of the year now recognized by the New Oxford American Dictionary?

Unfriend: To remove someone as a friend (on a social networking site)
Intexticated: Distracted while texting and driving
Tramp stamp: A tattoo on the lower back, usually on a woman
Funemployed: People taking advantage of newly unemployed status to have fun
Sexting: Sending of sexually explicit messages and pictures by cellphone
 
 
  
UC Berkeley students protest student fee hike
BERKELEY — University of California Berkeley students protesting a 32 percent increase in student fe..
 
  
 
  
 
  
 
 
©2009 Daily Journal - San Mateo County's homepage